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Discussion in 'Poker Hands' started by jully, Oct 6, 2011.

  1. jully

    jully
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    Hand History for Game 68551000518 (Poker Stars)
    $200.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday , October 06 , 05:17:43 ET 2011
    Table Felicitas II (Real Money)
    Seat 6 is the button
    Seat 1: aiamolinbaby ( $216.40 USD )
    Seat 2: KaiNDeaD ( $80.00 USD )
    Seat 4: MiraCIe ( $203.00 USD )
    Seat 5: Donostiko ( $203.30 USD )
    Seat 6: Hero ( $285.65 USD )
    aiamolinbaby posts small blind $1.00 .
    KaiNDeaD posts big blind $2.00 .



    Dealt to Hero: :Qh: :Kc:
    MiraCIe folds
    Donostiko folds
    Hero raises $4.00
    aiamolinbaby folds
    KaiNDeaD raises $10.00
     
  2. jully

    jully
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    the guy is multy stack 27/26 and 3bet me to 12 from the BB 3x.
    3b%=20 and fold to 4bet =50
    What are you doing here and WHY ?
    Plz explain with some math behind :)
     
  3. Admin

    Admin
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    3b% = 20 is a range prolly like this:
    22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,A9o+,A5o,KJo+,QJo
    If hes folding 50% so his stackoff range is like this:
    55+,ATs+,KJs+,AJo+,KQo
    vs this range you have 38% equity
    So 50% of the time you are going to win 17$ and 50% of the time you are going to be in a 62/38 situation for 160$ pot

    calculation is as follows:
    0.5x17$(50% of the time he folds and we win the pot) + 0.38x0.5x80$(50% of the time he calls and we have 38% equity) - 0.62x0.5x80(62% equity)$= 8.5$+15.2$-24.8$=-1.1$

    This means we are losing 1$ in this spot in the long run. I think this means our best option is to call the 3b:) or... reevaluate his ranges... and make KQo push profitable:)
     
  4. getbigboy

    getbigboy
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    I don't know if the math is right, but if we are losing 1$ is profitable to 4bet/get in, because it's better than folding anytime andl osing 4$
     

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