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50NL strange situation

Discussion in 'Texas Holdem Hand Discussion' started by montman, Aug 30, 2010.

  1. montman

    montman
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    Hand History for Game 3498510750 (Prima)
    $50.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Monday , August 30 , 08:34:38 ET 2010
    Table Dunkirk 2 (Real Money)
    Seat 2 is the button
    Seat 1: giant_panda ( $57.19 USD )
    Seat 2: checkfoldx ( $10.00 USD )
    Seat 3: Gamble2Nite ( $50.25 USD )
    Seat 4: Hero ( $50.50 USD )
    Seat 5: alltherage ( $46.96 USD )
    Seat 6: isquion ( $11.50 USD )
    Gamble2Nite posts small blind $0.25 .
    Hero posts big blind $0.50 .

    Dealt to Hero: :Js: :Jc:
    alltherage folds
    isquion folds
    giant_panda raises $1.25
    checkfoldx folds
    Gamble2Nite raises $3.50
    Hero calls $3.25
    giant_panda calls $2.50


    FLOP ($11.25)
    :9s: :7d: :Tc:
    Gamble2Nite bets $8.50
    Hero calls $8.50
    giant_panda raises $53.44
    Gamble2Nite folds

    giant_panda is 24/21 for 64 hands ...
     
  2. Brobebrato

    Brobebrato
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    fold ^^

    hmmm... on second thought

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    Hand 0: 39.285% 38.94% 00.34% 5012 44.00 { JcJs }
    Hand 1: 60.715% 60.37% 00.34% 7770 44.00 { TT-99, 8c8s, 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, 77 }

    Removed 2 combos of 88.

    You need ¬34/35% to be good here. I guess you can put 2-3 worse hand combos here. And maybe 1-2 combos of slowplayed AA...

    Close spot. I will consider gameflow/dynamic/ whether to call or fold.
     
    Last edited: Aug 31, 2010
  3. scared

    scared
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    fold for sure,first that Gamble2nite is so much nity so i dont know at all why you post that hand....
     
  4. ThuNDeR

    ThuNDeR
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    "You need ¬34/35% to be good here" How do you calculate that ?!

    As far as my math skills go after you call the flop cbet and giant_panda shoves you have to call 38 to win 74,75 which means you only need to be good 25% here to call.

    Board: Tc 7d 9s
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 23.030% 22.63% 00.40% 12096 216.00 { JJ }
    Hand 1: 76.970% 76.57% 00.40% 40932 216.00 { TT-99, 77 }

    So your call will be slightly losing vs the very tightest range.If you add even 1 combo of 88 to his range your equity jumps to 28 and your call will be slightly +EV.So it seems like it wont make too much of a difference in the long run whether you fold or call here(OR I SUCK AT MATH which is quite possible haha :D )
     
    Last edited: Aug 31, 2010
  5. jully

    jully
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    If gamble guy is nitty I\ll get away with that hand on the flop na d fold with a guy behind after (the nit) is betting strong into 2 of us on that bord (get away with the 7bb pre )
     
  6. Brobebrato

    Brobebrato
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    yeah indeed, im wondering what is the Gamble - cbet/folding here...

    Thunder, if you bet 30bb into 30bb pot, your opponent has to call 30bb into 60bb pot - ( 2-1 or 33% equity ).
     

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